A month and a half ago the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) released a poll on the US Senate Republican Primary that showed Carly Fiorina leading the race with 24%, Tom Campbell with 23% and Chuck DeVore with only 8%.  The rest of the respondents were undecided on their choice as to who would be the GOP nominee.  The Fiorina campaign used this opportunity to try to urge DeVore to step out of the race, suggesting he had no shot and he would only be a spoiler for Tom Campbell.   However, today’s poll released has Fiorina with 25%, Campbell still at 23% and DeVore doubling his support to 16%.  Basically of the 9% of voters that have decided on a candidate 8% of them have decided to go with DeVore.  36% of voters remain undecided, indicating it is still anybody’s race.

That same poll released in March had Poizner trailing by 50 points to Whitman.  The new poll has him down only 9%.  This of course was due to his massive media blitz over the last two months.  The poll also indicates that 31% of likely primary voters remain undecided in the Gubernatorial race.

With a little over 3 weeks left in California’s primary season everything remains up in the air, but the two candidates who appear to have the wind at their backs are DeVore and Poizner.  Stay tuned…

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So by now you’ve probably heard about Dr. Rand Paul; both Kentucky and Ron Paul’s favorite son (don’t tell Ronald or Robert).  In August of 2009, the little-known Ophthalmologist from Bowling Green announced his campaign for Jim Bunning’s vacated US Senate seat – and yesterday the Tea Party darling defeated the epitome of an ‘Establishment’ candidate in Kentucky’s Secretary of State Trey Grayson by 23.4%;  58.8% to 35.4% (Full Election Results here).

When Paul announced his candidacy in August, Greyson hadn’t even stepped in the race, yet was still more than double digits ahead of Paul due to his high name-ID as a Statewide-Elected Official.  Yet Paul had two things that would help demolish Mitch McConnell’s chosen son and propel him to the Kentucky Randslide of 2010:  Principles and Papa.

As founder and chairman of the anti-tax organization Kentucky Taxpayers United (KTU) since 1994, Rand was clearly a limited government conservative – something his opponent could only talk about after repeatedly asking for budget increases for his Department as Secretary of State.

And as the son of Tea Party favorite Ron Paul – the inventor of the ‘moneybomb’ – Rand had no problem raising money from all over the country – Trey Grayson even ran a commercial saying as much as 75% of his donations were from outside the state.

It also didn’t help that Trey Grayson was a Clinton Democrat in 1992, and was even a Delegate for him in the Presidential Election that year.  And in 1994, when the Democratic Party was in decline, guess what?  Time to ‘Specter’ on over to the winning side (and yes, I want to verbalise the word Specter, so please feel free to use that as much as you want).

Americans, whether they consider themselves ‘Tea Partiers’ or not, are tired of politicians who will do whatever it takes to get elected.   We saw it in Pennsylvania, and we’ll see it again and again going forward.  Strong, principled men and women who are fervently against expanding government will win big in 2010.  This is only the beginning.

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With only $14,733 raised, and $2,558 cash on hand as of the last financial disclosure statement, congressional challenger Christopher Scott Riggs doesn’t pose much of a threat to Congressman Ken Calvert, the eight term incumbent.  But the Democrats know that offering a primary challenge is a good way to get Republican incumbents to waste money in the primary, and put a dent in their war-chest for the general election.

Take Riggs’ situation for example.  At the end of the 2009 filing period, he had only raised $2,000 for his congressional campaign against Calvert, and with the candidate filing deadline quickly approaching, he needed $8,758 to pay his filing fees and candidate statement fee.  According to my estimates, Riggs may have had $4,875 on hand at the time, and still needed $3,883.  So how did he do it?

In step Nancy Pelosi’s business partners, Warren and Nancie Mitchell, to save the campaign.

At the last minute (on 3/8/2010, just before Riggs drops a total of $7,018 on 3/8 and 3/9/2010 for filing fees), Warren and Nancie Mitchell each contributed $2,400, the maximum allowed contribution, to Riggs’ primary campaign.  The contributions make up 38% of Riggs’ total contributions.  Warren Mitchell is the Chairman of Clean Energy Fuels Corp, Which is funded in part by Paul and Nancy Pelosi.  Unrelated, Clean Energy Fuels corp was also awarded $34 Million of DOE stimulus money, or 11% of the total funding by the DOE.

Warren and Nancie have also contributed to:

Sen Diane Feinstein (D-CA) -  $1,000
Rep John B. Larson (D-Conn) – $500
Sen Harry Reid (D-Nev) – $1,000
Sen Chris Dodd (D-Conn) – $500

So the question I have, is what interest does Nancy and Paul Pelosi’s business partners have in this race?

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With just over a month to go Republican primary election former Governor of Alaska and Vice Presidential Nominee Sarah Palin released an endorsement of former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.  Of course it was almost a year ago when Palin resigned her position as Governor of Alaska and began her nationwide blitz.  She has since become a bestselling author with her book Going Rouge and was even the keynote speaker at the national Tea Party Convention a few months ago.  Palin seemed to be building up some serious credibility amongst the conservative grassroots over the past few months.

She received some blow back in February when she endorsed her former running-mate John McCain for re-election in favor of his primary challenger JD Hayworth.  Of course most conservative activists gave Palin a pass on this endorsement because McCain was the person responsible for making her endorsement relevant on a national scale.  However, aside from McCain, Palin has made some endorsements that pass the conservative test such as Rand Paul and Doug Hoffman.

The real shock came when the former governor endorsed McCain’s darling running for Senate in California, Carly Fiorina.  Apparently Sarah Palin forgot about Carly’s embarrassing gaffes where she insulted both McCain and Palin, and subsequently got her fired from the McCain campaign:

One would think that after the McCain cronies attempted to hang Palin out to dry and spread rumors of her “diva” attitude following the campaign that she would have had it.  However, she again returned to the one who punched her political meal ticket in 2008 and endorsed his hand-picked candidate in California yesterday.

But something happened on the road to Rome, The Politico has noticed Palin’s decision yesterday is vastly unpopular amongst her very own supporters.   On her own Facebook page thousands of comments of disapproval have poured in expressing outrage and urging her to reconsider her endorsement of Fiorina.  It seems the very grassroots conservatives Palin has been appealing to the last year are now disgusted with her lack of follow through by not endorsing the true conservative in the race Chuck DeVore.

Here are a few excerpts of comments left on Palin’s post touting her endorsement:

“I am really disappointed that you are endorsing a progressive instead of the only constitutional conservative running in the senate race is Chuck DeVore.”

“I hope Palin will reconsider and endorse DeVore. He is the best candidate.”
“I am sorry. I love Sarah and I understand her support of the RINO John McCain. However, Carly Fiorina is also a RINO in how she has conducted herself to date. Sure she has done some things right, like her NRA membership, however, I support a real Tea Party Supported and endorsed CONSERVATIVE, Mr. DeVore.”

“Wrong, wrong, and wrong — Chuck DeVore is THE conservative. You’re losing me, Sarah …”

“Sarah- I have looked at all the other comments and the majority are clearly AGAINST your endorsement of Fiorina. This was a VERY BAD decision on your part. You have lost all credibility with me and thousands of others in the tea party movement. If I ever see you on Hannity or any FOX news program I will automatically shut you off now. Just like Obama your endorsements are meaningless. YOU ARE SUCH A HUGE DISAPPOINTMENT!!!”

To read the rest of the outrage click here: http://www.facebook.com/notes/sarah-palin/lets-shake-it-up-in-california-updated/386510153434

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This just dropped in my In box from Tom Harman for Attorney General Campaign. If viewed widely this video should destroy any chance Cooley has at winning the Republican nomination for Attorney General.

From Tom Harman for Attorney General:

Sacramento, CA – In a new video posted on Vimeo this week by USC law professor Jody Armour, Los Angeles District Attorney Steve Cooley spends much of a 63-minute interview attacking California’s Three-Strikes law, as well as “Jessica’s Law.” The video of an interview at the Univeristy of Southern California’s Unruh Institute of Politics on October 23, 2009 captures Cooley railing against Jessica’s law, blaming on “Republican ideologues.” He then advises the audience if they want to pass a law in California to “name it after a female.”

The event was titled: Crime, Punishment & Rehabilitation: The Politics & Policy of California’s Prisons and featured Cooley, former Assemblyman Pat Nolan and Armour.

“Earlier this week a Cooley spokesperson tried to tell a leading news agency that he never took a position on Jessica’s Law. Well this certainly sounds like a clear position to me,” noted Harman campaign strategist Tim Rosales.

Steve Cooley has continually shown contempt for Republican voters and tough-on-crime laws like Jessica’s Law and Three Strikes. As this video makes abundantly clear, “his liberal positions on the issues put him far out of the mainstream, not only of Republican Primary voters, but of the 70% majority of all Californians who voted for Jessica’s Law,” said Rosales. Jessica’s Law protects Californians from violent sexual predators.

“Californians have a better choice for Attorney General,” concluded Rosales. Tom Harman brings over 40 years of legal experience to the job, supports Three Strikes and Jessica’s Law and is the author of legislation to streamline the death penalty.” In February, 2010 Harman was named Crime Victim United’s “Legislator of the Year.”

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Patrick Ruffini, noted and syndicated conservative blogger, had a quite entertaining tweet yesterday, it read:

“Carly Fiorina’s Facebook page is still defaulting to show “fan” posts. Not the best move, in her case. http://bit.ly/bvSOsG”

Apparently Carly doesn’t have as many “fans” as she would like.  On the page, if you subtract Carly’s own posts, the majority of the comments on her wall are calling her a RINO and are people disgusted with her.  It seems everyone is ready to put the failed presidential candidate, John McCain, and his cronies out to pasture and move forward with a real brand of conservatism.  Let’s see how long her wall on facebook is “public”….her overpaid media consultants are probably flipping coins on deciding whether to make her page private or not…either way, they will be hit.  In the spirit of baseball season, all I can say is.: “SWING and a miss Carly.”  Lets just hope she continues to vote after she’s defeated.  That is a tough task for her.

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I had the opportunity to visit the CRP convention over the weekend in Santa Clara.  On Saturday, while walking through the campaign poster covered hallway, I saw something pretty funny.  One of the campaigns for Attorney General (or at least I would assume so) was passing out “Cooley Kool-Aid” which promised to coax you into thinking Cooley’s a conservative.  Next, from around a corner, a kid in an umpire costume was heckling Steve Cooley all the way down the hall for not supporting 3 Strikes and You’re Out.  Another guy had a camera, and the video has since made its way to YouTube.  The best part is (not visible from the video, but my perspective) was Cooley pushing the cameraman telling him to watch out for a sign way and was getting pretty frustrated.

The video is pretty funny and also brings attention to Cooley’s horrible record on three strikes.  Here is an article that provides more info on Cooley’s three strike record.

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At 5:30, Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner will face off in a debate hosted by the New Majority, and Moderated by Conan Nolan.  You can view the live stream here.

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This is fresh from a caucus meeting this afternoon – and about two hours old.

Read here for more

Martin Garrick is in his first day as leader and he takes a faceplant right out of the gate. No wonder the Tea Party out polls the Republican Party…

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Liz Cheney’s group, Keep America Safe, has already come out with a ad attacking Obama’s State of the Union Address.  Politico is reporting that the ad will be running on Fox News and MSNBC.

Watch the ad below:

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